Oil drops 2.3% and turns risk, model maintains positions
Oil led the session with a 2.3% decline and a shift in its risk direction. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 posted daily price gains, while gold edged lower. The model holds in LONG for three assets and in CASH for one. Expected volatility is rising across two markets.
Written by AI (Google Gemini) from the model's numbers only. Every number in it is checked automatically against the calculation. Not investment advice.
Markets in this report
S&P 500
The S&P 500 gained 0.7% on the day as its Trend Score rose to 57 points. Current volatility sits at 10.1% against an expected 13.4%, meaning risk is rising. The model stays in LONG, and a switch to CASH requires the Trend Score to fall below zero.
Nasdaq 100
Nasdaq 100 advanced by 0.9% with the Trend Score jumping to 79 points. Current volatility of 15.2% compares to an expected 20.1%, so risk is rising. The model is in CASH, and a switch to LONG needs volatility to fall.
Gold
Gold dipped 0.2% while its Trend Score slipped to -16 points. Current volatility of 21.1% exceeds the expected 20.7%, pointing to falling risk. The model holds in LONG, while a switch to CASH would need risk to start rising again.
