Gold jumped 1.6% and oil changes risk direction
Gold recorded the biggest move with a 1.6% daily gain and a sharp Trend Score shift of 22 points. Oil reversed its risk direction to rising today. S&P 500 and gold remain in the LONG state, while Nasdaq 100 and oil stay in CASH. Volatility is expected to rise on three of the four tracked markets.
Written by AI (Google Gemini) from the model's numbers only. Every number in it is checked automatically against the calculation. Not investment advice.
Markets in this report
S&P 500
The S&P 500 gained 0.6% and its Trend Score added 14 points to 80. Current volatility sits at 10% with expected volatility at 12.7%, meaning risk is rising. The model stays in LONG, and a switch to CASH would need the Trend Score to fall below zero.
Nasdaq 100
The Nasdaq 100 moved up 0.5% as its Trend Score rose 13 points to 79. Current volatility of 15.6% compares to an expected 19%, showing risk is rising. The model holds the CASH state and a switch to LONG requires expected volatility to fall below current levels.
Gold
Gold jumped 1.6% and posted the largest Trend Score increase of 22 points to 3. Current volatility of 20.7% edges down to 20.4%, so risk is falling. The model remains in LONG, and a switch to CASH would need a negative Trend Score alongside rising risk.
