Oil jumped 2.4% as its Trend Score surged by 17 points
Oil led the price moves with a 2.4% gain in one trading day alongside a 17 point surge in its Trend Score. S&P 500 added 0.3% and gold rose 1.8%, while Nasdaq 100 slipped 0.1%. The model maintains three markets in the LONG state and one in CASH, with risk rising across three assets.
Written by AI (Google Gemini) from the model's numbers only. Every number in it is checked automatically against the calculation. Not investment advice.
Markets in this report
S&P 500
S&P 500 gained 0.3% on the day while its Trend Score advanced to 79. Current volatility stands at 10% and expected volatility rises to 14.2%, meaning risk is rising. The model holds the LONG state, where a switch to CASH would require the Trend Score to fall below zero.
Nasdaq 100
Nasdaq 100 dropped 0.1% as its Trend Score increased to 67. Current volatility is 16.7% and expected volatility reaches 21.2%, so risk is rising. The model stays in CASH, and a switch to LONG would require expected volatility to fall below the current level.
Gold
Gold advanced 1.8% in a single day and its Trend Score reached zero. Current volatility is 21.5% while expected volatility declines to 20%, showing risk is falling. The model remains LONG, and switching to CASH would need a negative Trend Score and rising risk.